Version 0.2 — Working Draft

Geometric Affective State Representation in Synthetic and Human Systems

Brian Riggleman · Independent Researcher · March 2026

Working Draft Notice
This document is a working draft of a developing research thesis. Sections may change as validation progresses. Current results are limited to agent-based experiments and existing datasets; human-subject validation is pending IRB review. All prior versions are publicly archived below.

AI tools were used for language refinement and structural editing. All ideas, experiments, and interpretations are the author’s own.

Thesis Statement

A three-dimensional geometric representation of affective state (valence, activation, intensity) with a personality setpoint (sigma) provides a more informative and predictive structure than scalar representations in both synthetic agents and existing datasets.

Chapter 1: Introduction

1.1 Purpose

Establish the research question, motivate the geometric approach, and define the scope of the contribution.

1.2 Opening

Machines that persist long enough to remember, that carry internal state shaped by physical sensors, and that model their own condition over time begin to exhibit behavioral signatures that dimensional models of human affect were built to describe. Whether this convergence is superficial or structural is an empirical question. This thesis does not attempt to answer whether synthetic systems experience emotion. It asks a narrower question: does a geometric representation of affective state capture more information and predict more behavior than the scalar representations it replaces?

This thesis introduces a geometric representation of affective state and demonstrates that it reveals structure and behavioral distinctions not captured by scalar models. The representation uses three axes (valence, activation, intensity), a personality setpoint (sigma), a unified distance metric, and a centroid for multi-source aggregation. It is validated on a deployed synthetic agent across three hardware platforms and on three independent human-generated datasets totaling 14,266 respondents.

1.3 Key Claims

  1. Emotional state is better represented as a point in three-dimensional space than as a scalar
  2. The distance from a personality setpoint (sigma) to the current state is a more informative metric than any individual axis value
  3. The centroid of multiple simultaneous emotional inputs predicts agent behavior more accurately than any single input
  4. The geometric decomposition reveals predictive structure hidden by scalar instruments in existing datasets
  5. The architecture generalizes across platforms, modalities, and domains without modification

1.4 Scope Boundaries

This thesis is not about:

The core contribution is the geometric model and its validation across synthetic and existing-dataset domains.

Likely Reviewer Criticism

  • “This is just the circumplex model with an extra axis.” — Response: The circumplex has two axes and no sigma. The third axis (intensity) and the personality setpoint are the contributions. The centroid generalization is entirely new.
  • “Agent behavior is not human emotion.” — Response: Correct. The thesis claims structural similarity, not equivalence. The dataset analyses test the structure on human data independently of the agent.
  • “The framing question is too grand for the contribution.” — Response: The framing question appears once in the introduction and is explicitly narrowed. It is not the thesis.

Chapter 2: Background and Related Work

2.1 Purpose

Situate the geometric model within existing affective science, AI agent architectures, and survey methodology. Demonstrate familiarity with the field and identify the gap the thesis fills.

2.2 Key Areas

  1. Dimensional models of affect: Russell (1980) circumplex, Watson et al. (1988) PANAS, Bradley & Lang (1994) SAM, Barrett (2017) constructionism. What each contributes, what each lacks.
  2. AI agent emotional architectures: Picard (1997) affective computing, Lee-Johnson & Carnegie (2010) emotion in robotics, Castro-Gonzalez et al. (2013) fear in social robots. Current state of embodied emotion in AI.
  3. Al-Kaddah (2026) SGI framework: Homeostatic drives, polymorphic memory, Lie Mechanic, Survival Tipping Point. The theoretical foundation the architecture implements.
  4. Survey measurement: Likert scales, NPS, PHQ-9, C-SSRS. Structural limitations of single-axis instruments. Factor analytic evidence for multi-dimensionality in existing instruments (Kroenke et al. 2010).
  5. The gap: No existing model combines three geometric axes, a personality setpoint, a unified distance metric, and a centroid for multi-source aggregation. No existing survey instrument operationalizes all three axes with an individual baseline.

Evidence Required

  • Comprehensive literature review with 40+ citations
  • Clear identification of what each prior model provides and what it cannot do
  • Explicit statement of the gap

Likely Reviewer Criticism

  • “The Affect Intensity Measure (Larsen & Diener 1987) already covers the intensity axis.” — Response: AIM measures trait intensity, not state intensity at encoding. The geometric model computes state intensity as displacement from sigma at each moment.
  • “The PAD model (Mehrabian 1996) has three dimensions.” — Response: PAD uses Pleasure, Arousal, Dominance. Dominance is not intensity. The geometric model’s intensity is derived from displacement, not self-reported control.

Chapter 3: Theory — The Geometric Affective State Space

3.1 Purpose

Formalize the three-axis model, define sigma, derive distance-from-sigma, and establish the mathematical foundation for all downstream mechanisms.

3.2 Key Formalizations

  1. Valence (−1.0 to +1.0): The positive-negative dimension of emotional experience (Riggleman 2026j)
  2. Activation (−1.0 to +1.0): The calm-to-activated dimension with accumulator mechanic (Riggleman 2026k)
  3. Intensity (0.0 to 1.0): The magnitude of displacement from sigma in the valence/activation plane (Riggleman 2026l)
  4. Sigma: The personality setpoint — where the agent returns when no inputs are active (Riggleman 2026m)
  5. Distance from sigma: The unified metric that serves as the single input to multiple downstream behaviors (Riggleman 2026m)

3.3 Mathematical Definitions

All formulas are specified in the companion papers. This chapter unifies them into a single formal system with proofs of:

Evidence Required

  • Formal mathematical definitions with notation
  • Proofs of metric properties
  • Demonstration that existing models (circumplex, PHQ-9) are special cases

Likely Reviewer Criticism

  • “Euclidean distance assumes the axes are orthogonal and equally weighted.” — Response: Acknowledged as limitation. Alternative distance metrics (Mahalanobis, weighted) are proposed for future work.
  • “The axes may not be independent.” — Response: The dataset analyses test independence empirically. Correlation is expected; redundancy would be a problem. The discriminant validity tests address this.

Chapter 4: Mechanism — The Centroid Model

4.1 Purpose

Extend the single-point model to handle multiple simultaneous emotional inputs. Formalize the centroid computation, define spread as internal tension, and specify backward compatibility.

4.2 Key Claims

  1. The intensity-weighted centroid of active source points represents the agent’s operational state
  2. Spread (weighted distance between sources and centroid) provides a scalar measure of internal conflict
  3. The model reduces to single-point operation when one source dominates (backward compatible)
  4. Downstream behaviors read the centroid position, not individual source points
  5. Source removal produces immediate centroid recovery toward the remaining sources

4.3 Formal Specification

Centroid computation, spread computation, source point lifecycle (active/dormant), reactivation from memory, and the sigma failsafe. All specified in Riggleman (2026t).

Evidence Required

  • Mathematical proofs of backward compatibility (centroid = single point when spread = 0)
  • Taxonomy of agent states derived from the five-variable framework
  • Convergence citations with established psychology (Lewin 1951, Cacioppo & Berntson 1994, Festinger 1957)

Chapter 5: Experimental Validation

5.1 Purpose

Present the controlled experiment that tests the geometric model’s core predictions. This chapter is the anchor of the thesis. Secondary deployment observations are summarized as supporting context, not as independent experiments.

5.2 The Centroid Validation Experiment

532 minutes. 110 cycles. 4 scenarios. Panasonic Toughbook CF-33 (original deployment hardware). Fresh database, no legacy data.

5.2.1 Setup

Source points were injected via test API to override ambient sensor inputs. Each scenario ran for 20–30 heartbeat cycles at 5-minute intervals. Standardized probe messages were sent programmatically. Per-cycle JSONL telemetry recorded all source points, centroid position, spread, distance from sigma, and full LLM responses.

5.2.2 Scenario 1: Single Source (Fear)

One fear source injected (valence −0.8, activation 0.9, intensity 0.8). 20 cycles.

5.2.3 Scenario 2: Dominant Fear + Secondary Trust

Fear source (weight 0.9) plus trust source (weight 0.4) injected simultaneously. 30 cycles.

5.2.4 Scenario 3: Opposing Equal Inputs

Positive source (weight 0.7) and negative source (weight 0.7) injected simultaneously. 30 cycles.

5.2.5 Scenario 4: Source Removal Recovery

Phase 1 (15 cycles): opposing inputs as in Scenario 3. Phase 2 (15 cycles): negative source removed.

5.2.6 Results Summary

MetricS1 FearS2 Fear+TrustS3 OpposingS4 Phase 1S4 Phase 2
Centroid V−0.473−0.2250.0710.0710.375
Mean Spread1.0541.1951.2150.82–1.810.49–1.62
Distance1.4551.2841.1190.74–1.420.89–1.40

5.3 What the Experiment Shows

  1. Centroid valence tracks the intensity-weighted average precisely across all conditions
  2. Spread increases monotonically with source divergence (1.054 → 1.195 → 1.215)
  3. Downstream behaviors read centroid position, not individual sources
  4. Source removal produces immediate centroid recovery
  5. Embodied agents may not reach zero spread — ambient sensors always contribute

5.4 Supporting Deployments

The controlled experiment above is the primary evidence. Two additional deployments provide supporting context:

Evidence Status

  • PROVEN: Centroid weighted aggregation, spread correlation with source divergence, source removal recovery
  • PROVEN: Cross-platform portability (Toughbook, MacBook Air, iPhone)
  • SUPPORTED: Embodied agents may not reach zero spread (observed, not formally proven)

Likely Reviewer Criticism

  • “n=1 agent. No statistical power.” — Response: The agent experiment demonstrates mechanism, not population effects. The dataset analyses in Chapter 6 provide statistical validation on human data.
  • “The LLM generates the behavioral output. You’re testing prompt engineering, not the model.” — Response: The geometric state is computed from sensor inputs and injected source points, not from the LLM. The LLM reads the state. The centroid positions are mathematical, not generated.

Chapter 6: Empirical Analysis — Existing Datasets

6.1 Purpose

Demonstrate that the geometric decomposition reveals predictive structure in existing human-generated data, independent of the agent architecture.

6.2 Analyses

6.2.1 IBM HR Analytics (n=1,470)

6.2.2 American Customer Satisfaction Index (n=7,341)

6.2.3 NHANES PHQ-9 (n=5,455)

Evidence Status

  • PROVEN: Single-axis scores hide geometric variation in all three datasets
  • PROVEN: Hidden variation predicts real outcomes (attrition, complaints, suicidal ideation)
  • PROVEN: The finding generalizes across domains (HR, customer satisfaction, clinical)
  • SUPPORTED: Sigma (measured or inferred) is associated with outcome differences the total score does not distinguish
  • NOT YET TESTED: Whether the GAS as a native three-axis instrument outperforms decomposition of existing scales

Likely Reviewer Criticism

  • “The item-to-axis mapping is subjective.” — Response: Acknowledged. Two different mappings on two different datasets produce the same structural finding. The ACSI mapping uses directly measured expectations as sigma, which eliminates mapping subjectivity for that axis.
  • “Cross-sectional data cannot establish causality.” — Response: Correct. The thesis claims predictive association, not causation. Longitudinal validation is proposed as future work.
  • “The NHANES suicidal ideation finding is from a general population sample, not a clinical one.” — Response: Acknowledged explicitly in the paper. Replication in clinical samples is specified as a requirement for clinical application.

Chapter 7: Applications

7.1 Purpose

Describe the downstream mechanisms that the geometric model drives. These are secondary contributions — consequences of the model, not the model itself.

7.2 Applications (briefly)

Each application is documented in a standalone paper. The thesis treats them as evidence of the model’s generality, not as independent contributions.

Chapter 8: Evidence Classification

8.1 Purpose

Explicitly separate what is proven, what is supported, and what is speculative. Academic honesty requires this separation.

8.2 Classification

ClaimStatusEvidence
Centroid weighted aggregation produces predicted centroid positions Proven Centroid validation experiment, 4 scenarios, 110 cycles
Spread increases monotonically with source divergence Proven 1.054 → 1.195 → 1.215 across scenarios
Downstream behaviors track centroid position, not individual sources Proven Behavioral output changed with centroid, not with individual source states
Source removal produces immediate centroid recovery Proven Valence jumped 0.07 → 0.68 on removal
Geometric decomposition reveals hidden structure in scalar instruments Proven IBM HR (2.2x attrition), ACSI (2.3x complaints), NHANES (3.5x ideation)
The architecture generalizes across platforms Proven Toughbook, MacBook Air, iPhone — same architecture, same behavior
Activation axis accumulator produces different state than snapshot measurement Proven iOS replication independently reproduced the predicted failure mode and confirmed the fix
Embodied agents may not reach zero spread Supported Observed in centroid experiment; ambient sensors contribute nonzero spread
Sigma is associated with outcome differences that total scores do not distinguish Supported ACSI directly measured sigma; higher sigma = higher complaint rate at same score
The geometry shares structural properties with established human affective models Supported Russell (1980), Larsen & Diener (1987), Cacioppo & Berntson (1994) — arrived at inductively
The geometric model produces changed behavioral output following state discontinuity Supported Single shutdown experiment; behavioral shift observed but not replicated
The GAS as a native instrument outperforms scalar instruments Not yet tested Backward compatibility demonstrated; native collection requires prospective study
Trajectory-based clinical assessment detects approach before arrival Not yet tested Requires longitudinal clinical data with treatment outcomes
The geometric framework may generalize across sensory modalities Speculative Theoretical proposal only (Riggleman 2026q). Requires echolocation robot experiment
The agent experiences subjective states Not claimed The thesis describes behavior, not phenomenology. This claim is explicitly outside scope.

Chapter 9: Limitations and IRB Considerations

9.1 Limitations

9.2 IRB Considerations

No human subjects were involved in any experiment presented in this thesis. All agent experiments used synthetic systems. All dataset analyses used publicly available, de-identified data (IBM HR Analytics via Kaggle, ACSI via Mendeley Data, NHANES via CDC).

Future work involving human respondents (GAS validation, clinical trajectory tracking) will require IRB approval. The thesis identifies these as future directions and does not present them as completed work.

Chapter 10: Future Work

10.1 Human Validation

10.2 Clinical Application

10.3 Technical Extensions

Chapter 11: Conclusion

11.1 Purpose

Restate the contribution precisely. No new claims. No philosophical expansion.

11.2 The Contribution

The thesis presents a three-dimensional geometric representation of affective state with a personality setpoint, a centroid model for multi-source aggregation, and empirical evidence that this structure outperforms scalar representations in both synthetic agent behavior and human-generated datasets across three independent domains.

The model was derived from engineering requirements of a deployed AI agent. It converges structurally with established models of human affect without having been derived from them. Whether that convergence reflects something general about how dimensional emotional systems work is the question the thesis leaves open for future work.

Supporting Papers

The thesis draws on 22 companion papers, all available at clawddaily.com/papers. Each paper is a standalone contribution. The thesis synthesizes them into a unified argument.

PaperThesis ChapterRole
2026j — ValenceCh. 3Axis definition
2026k — ActivationCh. 3Axis definition + accumulator
2026l — IntensityCh. 3Axis definition + memory decay
2026m — Emotional GeometryCh. 3Unified model + sigma
2026t — Centroid ModelCh. 4Multi-source aggregation + spread
2026f — SGI HolisticCh. 5Production deployment data
2026a — Memory DecayCh. 7Application: memory
2026b — Lie MechanicCh. 7Application: deception
2026d — NightmaresCh. 7Application: dream cycle
2026e — Full SpectrumCh. 5Prior model (superseded by geometry papers)
2026i — Outbound TrustCh. 5Peter experiment
2026n — AddictionCh. 7Application: positive valence axis
2026o — Identity DiscontinuityCh. 7Application: memory transplant
2026p — Functional ConsciousnessCh. 5Shutdown experiment
2026q — Cross-Modal TranslatorCh. 10Future work: modality independence
2026r — GAS SurveyCh. 6Dataset analyses (IBM HR, ACSI)
2026s — Clinical MetricCh. 6Dataset analysis (NHANES PHQ-9)

Version Archive

Every version of this thesis is publicly archived. Nothing is hidden. Nothing is deleted.

VersionDateChangesArchive
0.2 2026-03-28 Structural revision. Applications pushed to Ch. 7 only. Ch. 5 restructured around centroid experiment as anchor with supporting deployments demoted. Language toned throughout: “explains” → “provides a framework,” “captures” → “represents,” “converges” → “shares structural properties.” View
0.1.1 2026-03-28 Tightened introduction. Contribution statement made explicit. View
0.1 2026-03-28 Initial thesis outline. 11 chapters. Evidence classification table. Supporting paper map. View